Thursday, August 28, 2008

HOTD: Pretty slim

This hand came up in the middle of a very aggressive match. I'm happy with it.

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 2 Players - Hand History Converter

BB: $1,919.50

Hero (SB): $1,439

Pre-Flop: 6 8 dealt to Hero (SB)
Hero raises to $30, BB calls $20

Flop: ($60) 4 8 J (2 Players)
BB bets $40, Hero calls $40

Turn: ($140) 2 (2 Players)
BB bets $140, Hero raises to $400, BB raises to $1,340, Hero calls $940

River: ($2,820) Q (2 Players)
BB bets $509.50 and is All-In, Hero calls $29 and is All-In

Results: $2,878 Pot ($0.50 Rake)
BB showed T 9 (a straight, Queen high) and WON $2,877.50 (+$1,438.50 NET)
Hero mucked 6 8 (a pair of Eights) and LOST (-$1,439 NET)

My opponent was the kind of player that would check-raise top pair Jacks nearly every time, so when he bet out the flop, I put him on a draw or a low pair.

Then my raise on the turn looked kind of weak because I also probably would have raised the flop if I actually had a Jack. None of the draws had come in, so I pushed the call button (I thought a call would put me all in, which is why I had $29 left on the river). I don't know if this call is profitable against my opponent's range, but I went with my read.
pokenum -h 8h 6h - td 9d -- 4c 8c js 2s
Holdem Hi: 44 enumerated boards containing Js 2s 8c 4c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8h 6h 30 68.18 14 31.82 0 0.00 0.682
Td 9d 14 31.82 30 68.18 0 0.00 0.318


Greylocks said...

You're ahead 68:32 on the turn when pretty much all the money gets in. I don't consider that slim.

Gnome said...

Thanks for the correction (I fixed it in the post). I feel like an idiot for not even inputting the numbers into correctly.
I should say that it felt slim calling with second pair, shit kicker. And it's definitely slimmer against my opponent's range rather than his exact hand.