Thursday, October 25, 2007

HOTD-Outs 'n' rags

This hand of the day played out well.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1625641

FullTiltPoker $3/$6 - 4 handed
Dealt to smizmiatch [6c 5d]
CO folds
smizmiatch raises to $21 from Button
SB folds
Villain calls $15 from BB <-- He's very loose from the blinds.
*** FLOP *** [4c 2d 8d] <-- I flop great with a double belly buster
Villain bets $25
smizmiatch calls $25 <-- I call rather than raise because my hand is well-disguised and I figure my opponent caught a piece of the flop
*** TURN *** [4c 2d 8d] [6s]
Villain bets $60 <-- I don't know what to put him on. Some kind of draw? Some weird BB two pair hand? Why would he bet it out on two streets?
smizmiatch raises to $180 <-- I'm going to try to put an end to this right now with about 5 trillion outs
Villain raises to $300 <-- Wtf is up with the minraise?
smizmiatch has requested TIME

Here is where I go into the tank. I think about going all in, but the villain has shown nothing but strength. I'd hate to call drawing dead to a 7. But really, I think I'm up against some random two pair at this point, in which case I also don't want to go all in.

If I'm not going to push, I guess I have to do the math. I fumbled around on my keyboard for a second before finding the Windows calculator.

My pot odds were better than I thought they'd be at 21 percent (120/575)! With as many as 13 outs, I'm calling here for sure.


outs Click for enlarged view

smizmiatch calls $120
*** RIVER *** [4c 2d 8d 6s] [8h] <-- Actually, a great card because it would counterfeit a hand like 64 or 55. But my read is fuzzy.
Villain bets $256, and is all in <-- Is he doing this just because I took so much time on the turn?
smizmiatch has requested TIME
smizmiatch calls $254, and is all in <-- The pot is offering 3:1 odds. I think I'm good more than a quarter of the time. For some reason, my spider sense is telling me he doesn't have an 8.
Uncalled bet of $2 returned to Villain
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Villain shows [7h 3h] a pair of Eights <-- Missed his gutshot draw
smizmiatch shows [6c 5d] two pair, Eights and Sixes
smizmiatch wins the pot ($1,201) with two pair, Eights and Sixes <-- El doble!
Villain is sitting out

I don't know how to feel about this hand. I sensed weakness somewhere, but my read was wrong.

It must have been the minraise on the turn that seemed weak, even though it was meant to look strong.

8 comments:

  1. Not sure what you are doing on the turn when you raise his bet. You probably have the best hand a bunch because people usually donk bet pretty weakly and if you raise you'll fold out a bluff frequently. I'd much much prefer to call and continue than to raise.

    But hey, worked out for you so what do I know?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Awww man, whenever I get raised these days it's by a set or better. Please can you tell these players to come find me on the lower limits after you stack them?

    Much obliged!

    ReplyDelete
  3. Holy cow... Hell of a call.

    Personally, I think the villain actually played this hand pretty well. Of course, one can argue that he could wait for a better spot and that he didn't have to be in the hand to begin with. But being that he was in the hand, not a bad play, I think.

    ReplyDelete
  4. If you're calling the river with one-pair anyway why not shove on turn when he may fold?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Well, I didn't think he would fold if I pushed on the turn. And I
    wasn't committed to calling the river yet.
    I thought the 8 was a good card for me because it counterfeited a couple of random two-pair hands. Also, the flush draw didn't get there.
    Maybe most of all was the realization that everything didn't add up at the end: he went all-in so quickly after I had tanked for a while, I couldn't put him on a hand and he would have raised more on the turn with a stronger hand.
    I would have been much more worried if a flush card, an Ace, a 4 or a 2 had come on the end.
    Another thing I thought about when calling the turn reraise was that my opponent might just check the river with many hands that beat mine but would likely pay me off if I hit.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Ballsy-ass play man. Glad it worked out for you. Personally I woulda been folding on the turn I'm sure.

    Well done.

    ReplyDelete
  7. What game were you playing? two card razz? Some sort of NL low-ball? WTF?

    ReplyDelete
  8. you've been tagged (sorry)

    Mine might be a bad reference because it's huge compared to others. For a smaller example of what to do check out Kaja's.

    ReplyDelete